Main
Light Heavyweight
Ion Cutelaba vs Khalil Rountree Jr.
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
·Royal Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ion Cutelaba
Khalil Rountree Jr.
69%
31%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
26
Age
Δ 4y
30
20-12-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
16-7
L1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cutelaba: 15 sig / 4 TD ·
Rountree Jr.: 5 sig / 0 TD
Ion Cutelaba
Khalil Rountree Jr.
36
Sig strikes landed
29
92
Sig strikes attempted
82
48
Total strikes landed
32
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.50
41s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
67%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Ion Cutelaba
"The Hulk"
20-12-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Do…
—
Blue corner
W1
Khalil Rountree Jr.
16-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
8 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—
W
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—