Main
Light Heavyweight
Michal Oleksiejczuk vs Ovince Saint Preux
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier
·Royal Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Ovince Saint Preux
85%
15%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 6"
80"
25
Age
Δ 12y
36
23-9
Career record
Δ 13 pp
27-19
W2
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
19
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Oleksiejczuk: 37 sig / 0 TD ·
Saint Preux: 14 sig / 1 TD
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Ovince Saint Preux
34
Sig strikes landed
18
65
Sig strikes attempted
53
41
Total strikes landed
26
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.5
0.2
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
87s
Control time
109s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
39%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Michal Oleksiejczuk
"Hussar"
23-9
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
Blue corner
L2
Ovince Saint Preux
27-19
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
19 fights · 11-8
Last 5
L
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edw…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
—