Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sergio Pettis
Tyson Nam
82%
18%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
26
Age
Δ 10y
36
L2
Current streak
—
13
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pettis: 96 sig / 0 TD ·
Nam: 40 sig / 0 TD
Sergio Pettis
Tyson Nam
70
Sig strikes landed
50
148
Sig strikes attempted
109
86
Total strikes landed
63
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
137s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Sergio Pettis
18-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
L
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
L
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Mor…
—
Blue corner
Tyson Nam
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36