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Main Women's Strawweight

Mallory Martin vs Micol Di Segni

DWCS 3.9 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Mallory Martin
Micol Di Segni
63% 37%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 2"
60"
26
Age
Δ 6y
32

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Martin: 88 sig / 5 TD · Di Segni: 112 sig / 0 TD
Mallory Martin
Micol Di Segni
38
Sig strikes landed
36
88
Sig strikes attempted
79
66
Total strikes landed
64
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
0.9
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
154s
Control time
171s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Mallory Martin

0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner

Micol Di Segni

0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32