Prelims1
Featherweight
Chas Skelly vs Jordan Griffin
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje
·Rogers Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Chas Skelly
Jordan Griffin
64%
36%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
73"
34
Age
Δ 5y
30
19-3
Career record
Δ 22 pp
18-10
L1
Current streak
L1
10
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Skelly: 21 sig / 1 TD ·
Griffin: 37 sig / 1 TD
Chas Skelly
Jordan Griffin
31
Sig strikes landed
29
57
Sig strikes attempted
64
56
Total strikes landed
56
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
5.5
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
244s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Chas Skelly
"The Scrapper"
19-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
10 fights · 6-3
Last 5
L
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. T…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—
L
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
Blue corner
L1
Jordan Griffin
"Native Psycho"
18-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—