Main
Light Heavyweight
Glover Teixeira vs Nikita Krylov
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje
·Rogers Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Glover Teixeira
Nikita Krylov
48%
52%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
40
Age
Δ 12y
28
34-9
Career record
Δ 5 pp
32-11
W2
Current streak
W1
17
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Teixeira: 43 sig / 1 TD ·
Krylov: 47 sig / 2 TD
Glover Teixeira
Nikita Krylov
28
Sig strikes landed
39
56
Sig strikes attempted
77
47
Total strikes landed
54
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
175s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Glover Teixeira
34-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
17 fights · 12-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
Blue corner
W1
Nikita Krylov
"The Miner"
32-11
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
11 fights · 7-4
Last 5
W
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
L
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis
—
W
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arl…
—