Back to UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Prelims1 Welterweight

Claudio Silva vs Cole Williams

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler ·Prudential Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Claudio Silva
Cole Williams
58% 42%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
37
Age
Δ 1y
36
W4
Current streak
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4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Silva: 32 sig / 1 TD · Williams: 2 sig / 0 TD
Claudio Silva
Cole Williams
29
Sig strikes landed
25
57
Sig strikes attempted
57
53
Total strikes landed
37
2.6
Takedowns landed
0.4
6.2
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
265s
Control time
66s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W4

Claudio Silva

"Hannibal"
15-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database 4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
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Blue corner

Cole Williams

"Havoc"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36