Back to UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Miranda Granger vs Hannah Goldy

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler ·Prudential Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Miranda Granger
Hannah Goldy
64% 36%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 7"
61"
27
Age
Δ 0y
27

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Granger: 61 sig / 0 TD · Goldy: 55 sig / 0 TD
Miranda Granger
Hannah Goldy
40
Sig strikes landed
33
95
Sig strikes attempted
77
65
Total strikes landed
59
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.1
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
154s
Control time
167s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Miranda Granger

"Danger"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Hannah Goldy

"24K"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27