Back to UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Main Middleweight

Trevin Giles vs Gerald Meerschaert

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler ·Prudential Center
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Trevin Giles
Gerald Meerschaert
54% 46%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
27
Age
Δ 5y
32
16-8
Career record
Δ 5 pp
37-23
L1
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Giles: 8 sig / 1 TD · Meerschaert: 6 sig / 1 TD
Trevin Giles
Gerald Meerschaert
28
Sig strikes landed
25
57
Sig strikes attempted
61
43
Total strikes landed
39
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.1
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
108s
Control time
164s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
49%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Trevin Giles

16-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
W UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—
Blue corner
L2

Gerald Meerschaert

"GM3"
37-23
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—
L UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
—