Prelims1
Bantamweight
Alatengheili vs Batgerel Danaa
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang
·Shenzhen Universiade Sports Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Alatengheili
Batgerel Danaa
59%
41%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Alatengheili: 36 sig / 3 TD ·
Danaa: 85 sig / 0 TD
Alatengheili
Batgerel Danaa
39
Sig strikes landed
38
80
Sig strikes attempted
80
53
Total strikes landed
52
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
135s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Alatengheili
"The Mongolian Knight"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
Batgerel Danaa
"Storm"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30