Back to UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
Main Middleweight

Rodolfo Vieira vs Oskar Piechota

UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 ·Antel Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Rodolfo Vieira
Oskar Piechota
51% 49%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 3"
76"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Vieira: 18 sig / 3 TD · Piechota: 22 sig / 0 TD
Rodolfo Vieira
Oskar Piechota
27
Sig strikes landed
34
55
Sig strikes attempted
66
43
Total strikes landed
48
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
107s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Rodolfo Vieira

0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
L1

Oskar Piechota

"Imadlo"
11-4-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
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