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Main Featherweight

Enrique Barzola vs Bobby Moffett

UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 ·Antel Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Enrique Barzola
Bobby Moffett
69% 31%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
17-6-2
Career record
Δ 0 pp
13-6
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Barzola: 83 sig / 3 TD · Moffett: 90 sig / 0 TD
Enrique Barzola
Bobby Moffett
41
Sig strikes landed
30
110
Sig strikes attempted
89
79
Total strikes landed
57
2.8
Takedowns landed
2.0
5.2
Takedowns attempted
5.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
225s
Control time
258s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Enrique Barzola

"El Fuerte"
17-6-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
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W UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
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W UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
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W UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
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W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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Blue corner
L1

Bobby Moffett

"The Wolfman"
13-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
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