Main
Light Heavyweight
Volkan Oezdemir vs Ilir Latifi
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
·Antel Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Volkan Oezdemir
Ilir Latifi
78%
22%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
30
Age
Δ 7y
37
21-9
Career record
Δ 7 pp
17-10
L3
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Oezdemir: 64 sig / 0 TD ·
Latifi: 18 sig / 1 TD
Volkan Oezdemir
Ilir Latifi
35
Sig strikes landed
28
71
Sig strikes attempted
61
51
Total strikes landed
38
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.1
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
69s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Volkan Oezdemir
"No Time"
21-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvi…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—
L
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs.…
—
Blue corner
L1
Ilir Latifi
"The Sledgehammer"
17-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
11 fights · 7-4
Last 5
L
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. B…
—
W
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz
—