Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Liana Jojua
Sarah Moras
75%
25%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 5"
67"
24
Age
Δ 7y
31
—
Current streak
L3
0
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Jojua: 19 sig / 2 TD ·
Moras: 44 sig / 0 TD
Liana Jojua
Sarah Moras
39
Sig strikes landed
24
63
Sig strikes attempted
63
70
Total strikes landed
49
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
0.9
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
169s
Control time
201s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Liana Jojua
"She Wolf"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
L3
Sarah Moras
"Cheesecake"
6-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Iaquinta vs. C…
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L
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
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L
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
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W
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee
—