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Prelims1 Women's Flyweight

Joanne Wood vs Andrea Lee

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Joanne Wood
Andrea Lee
64% 36%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
34
Age
Δ 3y
31
17-9
Career record
Δ 9 pp
14-11
L1
Current streak
W3
9
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Wood: 101 sig / 2 TD · Lee: 61 sig / 3 TD
Joanne Wood
Andrea Lee
62
Sig strikes landed
60
152
Sig strikes attempted
136
89
Total strikes landed
81
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.3
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
180s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
81%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Joanne Wood

"JoJo"
17-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
W UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
W UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
L UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
L UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
Blue corner
W3

Andrea Lee

"KGB"
14-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Th…
W UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
W UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman