Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mairbek Taisumov
Diego Ferreira
81%
19%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
31
Age
Δ 4y
35
28-6
Career record
Δ 8 pp
20-7
W6
Current streak
W4
8
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Taisumov: 51 sig / 0 TD ·
Ferreira: 109 sig / 0 TD
Mairbek Taisumov
Diego Ferreira
38
Sig strikes landed
32
101
Sig strikes attempted
90
44
Total strikes landed
39
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
72s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W6
Mairbek Taisumov
"Beckan"
28-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 7-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Olein…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Str…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Do…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
Blue corner
W4
Diego Ferreira
20-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—