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Islam Makhachev vs Davi Ramos

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Islam Makhachev
Davi Ramos
94% 6%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
28
Age
Δ 5y
33
29-1
Career record
Δ 23 pp
11-4
W5
Current streak
W4
7
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Makhachev: 43 sig / 0 TD · Ramos: 7 sig / 0 TD
Islam Makhachev
Davi Ramos
31
Sig strikes landed
5
60
Sig strikes attempted
23
60
Total strikes landed
15
2.5
Takedowns landed
0.2
3.6
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
309s
Control time
28s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
35%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W5

Islam Makhachev

29-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database 7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
W UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
W UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
W UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie
W UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
Blue corner
W4

Davi Ramos

"Tasmanian Devil"
11-4
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
W UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
W UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
L UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…