Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Hakeem Dawodu
Yoshinori Horie
60%
40%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
28
Age
Δ 4y
24
W2
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Dawodu: 80 sig / 0 TD ·
Horie: 39 sig / 0 TD
Hakeem Dawodu
Yoshinori Horie
52
Sig strikes landed
42
102
Sig strikes attempted
101
67
Total strikes landed
53
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
101s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Hakeem Dawodu
"Mean"
14-4-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Vol…
—
Blue corner
Yoshinori Horie
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24