Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Alexis Davis
Viviane Araujo
54%
46%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
35
Age
Δ 2y
33
21-12
Career record
Δ 3 pp
14-7
L2
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Davis: 68 sig / 0 TD ·
Araujo: 67 sig / 2 TD
Alexis Davis
Viviane Araujo
54
Sig strikes landed
57
126
Sig strikes attempted
119
79
Total strikes landed
75
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.0
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
170s
Control time
60s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Alexis Davis
21-12
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Po…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lo…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
Blue corner
W1
Viviane Araujo
"Vivi"
14-7
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—