Prelims1
Flyweight
Alexandre Pantoja vs Deiveson Figueiredo
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
·Rogers Place
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alexandre Pantoja
Deiveson Figueiredo
72%
28%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
29
Age
Δ 2y
32
31-6
Career record
Δ 10 pp
25-8-1
W3
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pantoja: 61 sig / 2 TD ·
Figueiredo: 67 sig / 2 TD
Alexandre Pantoja
Deiveson Figueiredo
41
Sig strikes landed
28
81
Sig strikes attempted
74
56
Total strikes landed
42
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.5
3.0
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
122s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Alexandre Pantoja
"The Cannibal"
31-6
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
L
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs. Pon…
—
Blue corner
L1
Deiveson Figueiredo
"Deus da Guerra"
25-8-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. An…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ma…
—
W
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway
—