Main
Women's Featherweight
Cristiane Justino vs Felicia Spencer
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
·Rogers Place
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cristiane Justino
Felicia Spencer
77%
23%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
34
Age
Δ 5y
29
21-3
Career record
Δ 11 pp
10-3
L1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Justino: 122 sig / 0 TD ·
Spencer: 38 sig / 0 TD
Cristiane Justino
Felicia Spencer
53
Sig strikes landed
21
88
Sig strikes attempted
52
77
Total strikes landed
41
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.3
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
156s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
37%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Cristiane Justino
"Cyborg"
21-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
L
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya
—
W
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
—
W
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lan…
—
Blue corner
W1
Felicia Spencer
"FeeNom"
10-3
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—