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Main Featherweight

Herbert Burns vs Darrick Minner

DWCS 3.7 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Herbert Burns
Darrick Minner
40% 60%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
32
Age
Δ 2y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Burns: 5 sig / 0 TD · Minner: 17 sig / 0 TD
Herbert Burns
Darrick Minner
33
Sig strikes landed
39
77
Sig strikes attempted
80
48
Total strikes landed
58
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
109s
Control time
148s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Herbert Burns

"The Blaze"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner

Darrick Minner

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29