Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Taylor Johnson
Andre Muniz
34%
66%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Johnson: 9 sig / 1 TD ·
Muniz: 2 sig / 0 TD
Taylor Johnson
Andre Muniz
26
Sig strikes landed
53
70
Sig strikes attempted
88
36
Total strikes landed
66
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.4
3.2
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.60
116s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
79%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Taylor Johnson
"Tombstone"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
Blue corner
W1
Andre Muniz
"Sergipano"
25-8
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
DWCS Brazil 1.2
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