Back to DWCS 3.7
Main Bantamweight

Dwight Joseph vs Jay Perrin

DWCS 3.7 ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Dwight Joseph
Jay Perrin
61% 39%
Why
30
Age
Δ 4y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Joseph: 39 sig / 1 TD · Perrin: 43 sig / 4 TD
Dwight Joseph
Jay Perrin
34
Sig strikes landed
37
72
Sig strikes attempted
75
73
Total strikes landed
55
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
209s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
42%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Dwight Joseph

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
Blue corner

Jay Perrin

"The Joker"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
26