Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jamahal Hill
Alexander Poppeck
61%
39%
Why
28
Age
Δ 1y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Hill: 93 sig / 0 TD ·
Poppeck: 38 sig / 0 TD
Jamahal Hill
Alexander Poppeck
35
Sig strikes landed
32
70
Sig strikes attempted
67
52
Total strikes landed
48
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
134s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Jamahal Hill
"Sweet Dreams"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
Blue corner
Alexander Poppeck
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27