Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Christian Lohsen
JJ Okanovich
55%
45%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
24
Age
Δ 4y
29
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lohsen: 79 sig / 0 TD ·
Okanovich: 104 sig / 0 TD
Christian Lohsen
JJ Okanovich
31
Sig strikes landed
32
67
Sig strikes attempted
65
41
Total strikes landed
54
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
0.5
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
98s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Christian Lohsen
"Hollywood"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
Blue corner
JJ Okanovich
"The Bosnian Bomber"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29