Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Terrance McKinney
Sean Woodson
56%
44%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
78"
25
Age
Δ 2y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
McKinney: 8 sig / 2 TD ·
Woodson: 4 sig / 0 TD
Terrance McKinney
Sean Woodson
36
Sig strikes landed
37
71
Sig strikes attempted
79
56
Total strikes landed
53
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
137s
Control time
122s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Terrance McKinney
"T. Wrecks"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
25
Blue corner
Sean Woodson
"The Sniper"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27