Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ramazan Kuramagomedov
Jordan Williams
76%
24%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
23
Age
Δ 6y
29
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Kuramagomedov: 175 sig / 1 TD ·
Williams: 137 sig / 0 TD
Ramazan Kuramagomedov
Jordan Williams
36
Sig strikes landed
34
73
Sig strikes attempted
73
75
Total strikes landed
51
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.2
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
167s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Ramazan Kuramagomedov
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
Blue corner
Jordan Williams
"Bomaye"
9-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-0