Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Lance Lawrence
Kevin Syler
43%
57%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
26
Age
Δ 0y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lawrence: 88 sig / 1 TD ·
Syler: 147 sig / 1 TD
Lance Lawrence
Kevin Syler
32
Sig strikes landed
32
70
Sig strikes attempted
66
41
Total strikes landed
57
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.1
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
106s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Lance Lawrence
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner
Kevin Syler
"El Nino Bala"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
26