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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Ray Borg vs Gabriel Silva

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Ray Borg
Gabriel Silva
56% 44%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 8"
71"
26
Age
Δ 1y
25
L2
Current streak
9
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Borg: 15 sig / 6 TD · Silva: 8 sig / 1 TD
Ray Borg
Gabriel Silva
25
Sig strikes landed
29
52
Sig strikes attempted
53
44
Total strikes landed
41
3.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
7.3
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
359s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
28%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Ray Borg

"The Tazmexican Devil"
13-6
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
L UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
W UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Ga…
W UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey
L UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs T…
Blue corner

Gabriel Silva

0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25