Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Roxanne Modafferi vs Jennifer Maia
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
·Frost Bank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Roxanne Modafferi
Jennifer Maia
37%
63%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 5"
64"
37
Age
Δ 6y
31
26-21
Career record
Δ 11 pp
22-10-1
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Modafferi: 29 sig / 0 TD ·
Maia: 83 sig / 0 TD
Roxanne Modafferi
Jennifer Maia
59
Sig strikes landed
66
151
Sig strikes attempted
163
92
Total strikes landed
88
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
5.2
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
213s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
86%
KO/TKO
7%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Roxanne Modafferi
"The Happy Warrior"
26-21
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ol…
—
L
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeate…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—
Blue corner
W1
Jennifer Maia
22-10-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. P…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—