Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Raquel Pennington vs Irene Aldana
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
·Frost Bank Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Raquel Pennington
Irene Aldana
54%
46%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
31
Age
Δ 0y
31
16-11
Career record
Δ 7 pp
16-8
L2
Current streak
W3
10
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Pennington: 47 sig / 1 TD ·
Aldana: 52 sig / 0 TD
Raquel Pennington
Irene Aldana
70
Sig strikes landed
73
164
Sig strikes attempted
196
103
Total strikes landed
94
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.5
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
183s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
81%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
16-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
10 fights · 6-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
L
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W
UFC 205: Alvarez vs McGregor
—
W
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans
—
Blue corner
W3
Irene Aldana
16-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade
—
W
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
L
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
—