Back to DWCS 3.3
Main Bantamweight

Christian Ocon vs Hunter Azure

DWCS 3.3 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Christian Ocon
Hunter Azure
50% 50%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
23
Age
Δ 4y
27

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Ocon: 26 sig / 0 TD · Azure: 79 sig / 4 TD
Christian Ocon
Hunter Azure
31
Sig strikes landed
33
69
Sig strikes attempted
71
40
Total strikes landed
52
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
143s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Christian Ocon

0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
Blue corner

Hunter Azure

0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27