Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Zach Zane
Justin Gonzales
47%
53%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
30
Age
Δ 1y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Zane: 13 sig / 0 TD ·
Gonzales: 100 sig / 14 TD
Zach Zane
Justin Gonzales
36
Sig strikes landed
38
76
Sig strikes attempted
77
50
Total strikes landed
75
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
116s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Zach Zane
"The Hurricane"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
Blue corner
Justin Gonzales
"J-Train"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28