Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Alton Cunningham
Tony Johnson
67%
33%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
26
Age
Δ 10y
36
L1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cunningham: 55 sig / 2 TD ·
Johnson: 60 sig / 0 TD
Alton Cunningham
Tony Johnson
25
Sig strikes landed
29
59
Sig strikes attempted
43
38
Total strikes landed
54
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.1
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
68s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Alton Cunningham
"The Bo-Man"
4-3
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 2.4
—
Blue corner
Tony Johnson
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36