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Main Featherweight

Bill Algeo vs Brendan Loughnane

DWCS 3.1 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Bill Algeo
Brendan Loughnane
49% 51%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Algeo: 147 sig / 0 TD · Loughnane: 112 sig / 3 TD
Bill Algeo
Brendan Loughnane
38
Sig strikes landed
39
83
Sig strikes attempted
79
54
Total strikes landed
56
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.4
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
34%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Bill Algeo

"Senor Perfecto"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
Blue corner

Brendan Loughnane

0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
30