Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Hannah Goldy
Kali Robbins
65%
35%
Why
61"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
27
Age
Δ 8y
35
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Goldy: 141 sig / 0 TD ·
Robbins: 56 sig / 2 TD
Hannah Goldy
Kali Robbins
37
Sig strikes landed
38
85
Sig strikes attempted
81
64
Total strikes landed
69
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.0
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
153s
Control time
159s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Hannah Goldy
"24K"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
61"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Kali Robbins
"Pop Tart"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35