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Prelims2 Women's Strawweight

Hannah Cifers vs Jodie Esquibel

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Hannah Cifers
Jodie Esquibel
72% 28%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
27
Age
Δ 6y
33
11-7
Career record
Δ 15 pp
6-7
W1
Current streak
L3
2
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cifers: 70 sig / 1 TD · Esquibel: 43 sig / 3 TD
Hannah Cifers
Jodie Esquibel
74
Sig strikes landed
60
154
Sig strikes attempted
157
95
Total strikes landed
79
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
-0.10
143s
Control time
150s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Hannah Cifers

"Shockwave"
11-7
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
L UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
Blue corner
L3

Jodie Esquibel

6-7
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Her…
L UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
L UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…