Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Manny Bermudez
Casey Kenney
61%
39%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
25
Age
Δ 3y
28
15-2
Career record
Δ 11 pp
17-4-1
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bermudez: 37 sig / 3 TD ·
Kenney: 43 sig / 2 TD
Manny Bermudez
Casey Kenney
18
Sig strikes landed
18
38
Sig strikes attempted
33
37
Total strikes landed
32
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.7
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
166s
Control time
166s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
35%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Manny Bermudez
"The Bermudez Triangle"
15-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
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Blue corner
W1
Casey Kenney
17-4-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—