Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kyung Ho Kang
Brandon Davis
67%
33%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
32
Age
Δ 3y
29
20-11
Career record
Δ 5 pp
15-10
W1
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Kang: 50 sig / 3 TD ·
Davis: 77 sig / 1 TD
Kyung Ho Kang
Brandon Davis
42
Sig strikes landed
39
100
Sig strikes attempted
104
61
Total strikes landed
57
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.3
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
194s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Kyung Ho Kang
"Mr. Perfect"
20-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
7 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
L
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—
Blue corner
W1
Brandon Davis
"Killer B"
15-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—
L
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Me…
—
L
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—