Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Gabriel Benitez
Sodiq Yusuff
52%
48%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
31
Age
Δ 5y
26
24-13
Career record
Δ 9 pp
14-5
W2
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Benitez: 24 sig / 0 TD ·
Yusuff: 34 sig / 0 TD
Gabriel Benitez
Sodiq Yusuff
40
Sig strikes landed
44
104
Sig strikes attempted
105
44
Total strikes landed
59
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
0.7
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
30s
Control time
122s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Gabriel Benitez
"Moggly"
24-13
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Or…
—
L
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Jo…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gaste…
—
Blue corner
W2
Sodiq Yusuff
"Super"
14-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—