Back to UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Pingyuan Liu vs Jonathan Martinez

UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd ·Golden 1 Center
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Pingyuan Liu
Jonathan Martinez
38% 62%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
26
Age
Δ 1y
25
14-7
Career record
Δ 10 pp
20-6
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Liu: 27 sig / 0 TD · Martinez: 32 sig / 0 TD
Pingyuan Liu
Jonathan Martinez
42
Sig strikes landed
47
104
Sig strikes attempted
96
60
Total strikes landed
65
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
5.0
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
141s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
81%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Pingyuan Liu

14-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smi…
—
Blue corner
W1

Jonathan Martinez

"Dragon"
20-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
—
L UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. S…
—