Back to UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Livinha Souza vs Brianna Fortino

UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd ·Golden 1 Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Livinha Souza
Brianna Fortino
61% 39%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 1"
62"
28
Age
Δ 2y
26
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Souza: 23 sig / 2 TD · Fortino: 72 sig / 3 TD
Livinha Souza
Brianna Fortino
28
Sig strikes landed
22
61
Sig strikes attempted
44
51
Total strikes landed
51
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
215s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
31%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Livinha Souza

"The Brazilian Gangsta"
15-4
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. M…
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W UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. An…
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Blue corner

Brianna Fortino

"The Bull"
0-0
Career record
Height
60"
Reach
62"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26