Prelims1
Featherweight
Darren Elkins vs Ryan Hall
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
·Golden 1 Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Darren Elkins
Ryan Hall
78%
22%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
35
Age
Δ 1y
34
29-13
Career record
Δ 14 pp
10-2
L2
Current streak
W3
20
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Elkins: 29 sig / 0 TD ·
Hall: 36 sig / 0 TD
Darren Elkins
Ryan Hall
42
Sig strikes landed
31
90
Sig strikes attempted
79
63
Total strikes landed
46
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.1
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
225s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Darren Elkins
"The Damage"
29-13
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
20 fights · 14-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponz…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. C…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
Blue corner
W3
Ryan Hall
"The Wizard"
10-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Tournamen…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGr…
—