Back to UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Mike Rodriguez vs John Allan

UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd ·Golden 1 Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Mike Rodriguez
John Allan
49% 51%
Why
82"
Reach
Δ 8"
75"
31
Age
Δ 4y
26
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Overturned · Round 3
Rodriguez: 70 sig / 0 TD · Allan: 55 sig / 4 TD
Mike Rodriguez
John Allan
34
Sig strikes landed
29
58
Sig strikes attempted
53
42
Total strikes landed
46
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
69s
Control time
135s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Mike Rodriguez

"Slo Mike"
12-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
83"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquin…
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L UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta
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Blue corner

John Allan

0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26