Prelims1
Featherweight
Andre Fili vs Sheymon Moraes
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
·Golden 1 Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Andre Fili
Sheymon Moraes
70%
30%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
29
Age
Δ 0y
29
26-13
Career record
Δ 2 pp
11-5
W1
Current streak
L1
12
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Fili: 19 sig / 0 TD ·
Moraes: 11 sig / 0 TD
Andre Fili
Sheymon Moraes
59
Sig strikes landed
40
136
Sig strikes attempted
102
70
Total strikes landed
51
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
124s
Control time
37s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Andre Fili
"Touchy"
26-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
12 fights · 7-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Ve…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—
L
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
—
Blue corner
L1
Sheymon Moraes
11-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
W
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
W
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Ga…
—