Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Julianna Pena vs Nicco Montano
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
·Golden 1 Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Julianna Pena
Nicco Montano
59%
41%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 4"
65"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
13-7
Career record
Δ 2 pp
6-3
L1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pena: 45 sig / 2 TD ·
Montano: 38 sig / 3 TD
Julianna Pena
Nicco Montano
51
Sig strikes landed
35
98
Sig strikes attempted
73
99
Total strikes landed
48
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.0
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
266s
Control time
271s
Method
Decision
75%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Julianna Pena
"The Venezuelan Vixen"
13-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena
—
W
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes
—
W
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—
Blue corner
W1
Nicco Montano
6-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A New Wor…
—