Back to UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Main Featherweight

Josh Emmett vs Mirsad Bektic

UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd ·Golden 1 Center
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Josh Emmett
Mirsad Bektic
52% 48%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
20-7
Career record
Δ 4 pp
14-4
W1
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
7

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Emmett: 27 sig / 0 TD · Bektic: 10 sig / 0 TD
Josh Emmett
Mirsad Bektic
36
Sig strikes landed
40
86
Sig strikes attempted
103
45
Total strikes landed
66
0.6
Takedowns landed
2.1
1.5
Takedowns attempted
6.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
60s
Control time
209s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Josh Emmett

20-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Ste…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Ti…
—
L UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
—
Blue corner
W2

Mirsad Bektic

14-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
—
W UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Bru…
—
L UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2
—
W UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson
—
W UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—