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Main Bantamweight

Urijah Faber vs Ricky Simon

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Urijah Faber
Ricky Simon
55% 45%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
40
Age
Δ 13y
27
36-11
Career record
Δ 2 pp
23-7-1
W1
Current streak
W3
16
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Faber: 11 sig / 0 TD · Simon: 4 sig / 0 TD
Urijah Faber
Ricky Simon
36
Sig strikes landed
45
80
Sig strikes attempted
108
38
Total strikes landed
56
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
64s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
62%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Urijah Faber

"The California Kid"
36-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database 16 fights · 10-6
Last 5
W UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
L UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem
L UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
W UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
L UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
Blue corner
W3

Ricky Simon

23-7-1
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
W UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrand…
W UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee