Back to UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Main Middleweight

Karl Roberson vs Wellington Turman

UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd ·Golden 1 Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Karl Roberson
Wellington Turman
34% 66%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
29
Age
Δ 6y
23
L1
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Roberson: 50 sig / 0 TD · Turman: 25 sig / 4 TD
Karl Roberson
Wellington Turman
22
Sig strikes landed
23
45
Sig strikes attempted
42
36
Total strikes landed
44
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
86s
Control time
162s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Karl Roberson

"Baby K"
9-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dil…
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W UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis
—
L UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
—
W UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pe…
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Blue corner

Wellington Turman

"The Prodigy"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23